54 percent of active voters would vote on the Fidesz-KDNP national list if elections were held this Sunday. 16 percentage points less or only 38 percent of active voters would vote on parties of the opposition alliance, reveals a representative poll conducted by Nézőpont Intézet. The government parties’ high support index reflect the popularity of the coronavirus response measures, which has remained above 70 percent during the emergency.
Compared to 51 percent at the beginning of the year, the popularity of the ruling parties had risen to 55 percent by April. With a shift within the margin of error, Fidesz-KDNP support has remained at this level into May as well, and currently stands at 54 percent. The European elections have shown how volatile preferences among the opposition can be, and there is, accordingly, serious struggle going on for the Left’s leading position. The Democratic Coalition, very active in April, would only reach 11 percent in May, with Momentum being the most popular opposition party at the moment at 13 percent. Jobbik has remained at 9 percent since April, which is less than half their support from spring 2018. The MSZP-Dialogue alliance, which has been unable to move on from a historic low of 3 percent since April, is also in significant trouble. Both the LMP and the Our Hungary Movement are far from reaching the 5 percent threshold required for parliament, with the former reaching 2 and the latter 1 percent if the elections “were held this Sunday”. Disappointment in the opposition parties is indicated by the Two-Tailed Dog Party’s 6 percent result.
Fidesz-KDNP’s popularity among the the total population is 43 percent, translating into nearly three and a half million sympathizers. The total number of sympathizers of parties in the opposition coalition is currently 26 percent or just over 2 million people.
Satisfaction with the measures taken against the coronavirus since the declaration of emergency may play an important role in the sustained rise of the government parties’ popularity. According to a poll conducted over last Thursday and Friday, 72 percent of Hungarians are satisfied, and only 23 percent unsatisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus. Even 41 percent of respondents critical of the government believe that the actions have been appropriate.
Methodology
The public opinion poll was conducted by Nézőpont Intézet between 7-8 May 2020 based on telephone interviews with 1,000 respondents. The sample is representative of the 18+ population by geneder, age, region, settlement type and level of education. A sample of 1,000 at 95 percent accuracy has a margin of error of 3.16 percent.